→ 0x2c08…b401 took $44,200 on
“Israel–Hezbollah ceasefire by Q3”
Prediction-market intelligence · for desks & newsrooms
Real-time alerts on the Polymarket trades the news hasn’t reported yet — each with the wallet’s history, the news scan that should have supported it, and a full audit trail. Delivered to Slack, Telegram, or your inbox.
→ 0x2c08…b401 took $44,200 on
“Israel–Hezbollah ceasefire by Q3”
→ 0x9b1e…2f77 took $128,900 on
“OpenAI files for IPO in Q3”
→ 0x4d12…a888 took $51,400 on
“ECB pauses cuts in May”
→ 0x7f3a…c91a took $84,200 on
“Iran ground operation by June 30”
The gap
That gap — between when a real-money trader knows and when a reporter publishes — is where every interesting story and every meaningful directional signal lives. move37 turns the gap into a feed.
01 / The news is late
Prediction markets re-price hours — sometimes days — before the wire. The trades are public on Polymarket. Almost nobody is reading them.
02 / The data is on-chain, not in your terminal
There is no integrated feed of prediction-market activity in the tools your desk already uses. So traders and reporters either don’t look — or burn analyst hours scraping subgraphs by hand.
03 / Wallet leaderboards aren’t signal
Win-rate alone is noise. What matters is the trade that diverges from every public source, placed by a wallet with a forensic track record on the same kind of event. That’s a story, not a stat.
How it works
Every alert move37 emits is the output of the same four-stage pipeline. No black box: every step is logged, every model run is identified, every claim is sourced.
Every Polymarket trade is ingested in real time. A per-wallet anomaly scorer flags trades that diverge from the wallet’s own 90-day baseline. Cross-checked against Kalshi for venue divergence.
Every flagged trade is matched against 90 ingested news feeds (Reuters, Bloomberg, FT, AP, regional) using hybrid retrieval and LLM rerank. Result: supported, contradicted, or no support found.
Each alert ships with the wallet’s history: lifetime PnL, win-rate by category, prior trades preceding known news events, and a pattern fingerprint matched against historical leak cases.
A single alert arrives in your Slack, Telegram, or inbox — with the reasoning, the model version, and the full citation trail. Every claim is queryable. Every flag is reproducible.
Anatomy of an alert
Every move37 alert is a single message with five fields: the trade, the wallet’s profile, the news scan, the cross-venue check, and the audit trail. Nothing is hidden. Nothing is conjecture.
[ALERT] INFORMED TRADE FLAGGED 2026-05-21 · 09:14:22 UTC → Wallet 0x7f3a…c91a took LONG $84,200 on “Iran ground operation by June 30” at 64.2¢ · position size 4.2σ above 90-day baseline WALLET PROFILE · Active since 2023-04 · 312 lifetime trades · 78% accuracy on geopolitical contracts · +$1.42M lifetime PnL · 6 known prior-to-news positions · Pattern fingerprint matches 3 historical leak cases NEWS SCAN (last 6h · 89 sources) · No supporting coverage found. · Closest match: AP “US deploys carrier group” (0.31 cosine — weak) CROSS-VENUE · Kalshi “US Mideast military action 2025”: 18% (unchanged) · Polymarket implies +11pp vs Kalshi — divergence flagged AUDIT TRAIL · Model: opus-4.7 Prompt hash: a3f8…c91 Run: 2026-05-21T09:15Z · → Open full reasoning trail
Who it’s for
We refused to build a journalist mode and a trader mode. The atom is the same; only the consumption differs. Both buyers pay for the same alert — and the same audit trail behind it.
When a wallet with 78% accuracy on geopolitics quietly takes a six-figure position on an event no outlet has reported, that’s a lead. We hand it to you with a full audit trail you can cite — and the sources you can call.
“The Move37 Report is the prediction-market beat we didn’t know our desk needed.”
A 4.2σ position from a wallet with a forensic track record on similar events, with no news support, is the cleanest leading indicator your desk has access to that nobody on your floor is reading yet. We surface it the moment it lands.
“It’s the only data feed on our floor that arrives before Bloomberg has the story.”
What you get
Single product. Same SKU for desks and newsrooms. If a feature only makes sense for one buyer, it’s a v2 split — not a v1 inclusion.
Slack with rich unfurls, Telegram bot, email digest (hourly / daily / weekly), RSS feed, WebSocket API. Lives in your existing workflow, not in another tab to forget.
Model version, prompt hash, run timestamp, and the full reasoning chain. Every flag is reproducible — by you, by your risk committee, by your editor.
When Polymarket and Kalshi price the same event differently, the divergence itself becomes a leading indicator. Nobody else surfaces this.
Every flagged wallet ships with a history page: PnL, category-specific accuracy, pattern fingerprint, prior trades preceding known news events.
Subscribe to topics — Iran, US elections, Fed cuts, M&A in a sector — and receive only alerts that match. No notification fatigue.
Every Wednesday, our editorial team picks one wallet, one alert, one cross-venue divergence and writes it up. Free. Subscribe and see what you’ve been missing.
Pricing
Single product, four packagings. The editorial layer is free forever — it’s how you’ll discover us. The paid tiers add real-time delivery, full audit trail, and team features.
The public Substack and Twitter / X feed. One wallet, one alert, one cross-venue divergence — every Wednesday. Free. Read by traders, journalists, and our future customers.
Real-time alerts in Slack, Telegram, email, RSS. Full web app, full audit trail, watchlists. For solo traders, freelance journalists, and macro researchers.
Six seats for small prop desks and financial newsrooms. Shared watchlists, team Slack and Telegram channels, basic API access, priority email support.
SSO, on-prem option, custom rules, white-label delivery, dedicated support. For hedge funds, news organisations, and regulated firms whose compliance teams will read the audit trail.
Audit-first by design
move37 is built by SAIGON Technologies, a small engineering team in Prague. Every alert we ship comes with the trail of evidence that produced it — the model that flagged it, the news scan that scored it, the wallet history that justified it. If you can’t reconstruct why we said something, neither can we. That’s the rule the rest of the product is built around.
Every claim ships with the model version, prompt hash, and full reasoning chain. Citable in print. Replayable in code.
Prague-operated. GDPR-native by default. On-prem and VPC deployment available for the institutional tier.
Polymarket runs continuously and never closes. The alerts follow the trades — overnight, weekend, anytime the wallet moves.
No hidden models, no closed reasoning, no “because the system said so.” The audit trail isn’t a feature; it’s the product.
Be early
Join the waitlist. We’ll send the first Sharp Wallet of the Week the moment we publish it — and a private invite when the real-time alerts open up for paid beta.
The waitlist goes live with the paid beta. For now, hitting "Join" opens a pre-filled email to [email protected]. Same destination, just no database in the middle yet.
No spam, ever. Unsubscribe in one click. Read the most recent Report.